DISCLAIMER

Arbor – August 2025 CLO Update

August 25, 2025 –New build-to-baghold CLO data is now available, which shows loans to management team have been modified many times. Meanwhile, MFR net spreads continue to nosedive, DCRS show a slight improvement due to a fall in spread (Arbor revenues), and a record high number of loans move into >30 day delinquencies.

  • Arbor’s underlying CLO Debt Service Coverage Ratio (DSCR) has jumped from ~0.50x (adjusting for enormous errors in reporting) to ~0.68x.
    • This increase in DSCR has not been fueled by underlying operating success, but by enormous reductions in interest (i.e. Arbor revenues).
    • Underlying asset performance has decreased substantially m/m reporting. Reported group NOI has dropped from $244m/a to $226m/a.
  • Delinquent loans have risen from $1,048m to $1,172m.
  • Arbor has re-modified ~$100m of loans in August 2025. These have all been previously modified.
  • Arbor has modified $3.2b (84%) of its remaining CLO loans and holds ~$1,050m (26%) of delinquent loans.
  • Arbor has modified >$1.8b of loans YTD 2025, some of which have been modified many times during this YTD period.
  • Substantially all these loans had already been modified.
We maintain our belief that Arbor’s deteriorating loan book, and the measures it has taken to conceal its true state, represent a significant risk for the Company’s bondholders and shareholders.

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